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August 01, 2000

Reform: Centralism Still Rules

The state media has been gloating over two development thus far this week: (i) the performance of public enterprises and (ii) a planned, new fiscal system.

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The fiscal system is primarily intended to strip taxation authority from local governments. All revenues are to be deposited into national treasury accounts. Provincial and municipal offices then submit budgets, which are filled as the central government desires. There are benefits to this system; in particular, it will crimp corruption among local officials. But it will also concentrate power even further in the hands of a few cadres in Beijing.

Another bragging point is a 10.6 percent growth rate in the value of state-owned assets last year, well exceeding GDP growth of 7.1 percent. But this makes a lie of constant claims that the importance of the public sector is waning while that of the private sector is waxing. In fact – as should be expected when growth has been driven largely by government spending – the state sector accounted for a greater proportion of the economy in 1999 than 1998. Where's Deng Xiaoping when you need him?

China E-Bytes
Mexico's foreign minister said today a market access agreement with China is imminent, leaving Switzerland as the only country that has not endorsed the mainland's WTO membership.
Japan has allocated $156 million in loans for railroad and airport projects in the PRC. In a related note, the firm that operates Beijing's airport is planning to merge with Tianjin's airport operator. The combined company will have assets of $2.4 billion and be listed in Hong Kong.
The stock market may suffer a blow later this year, if Morgan Stanley's Capital International (MSCI) indices switch from weighting by market capitalization to weighting by trading volume. This would de-emphasize large firms which have most of their shares set aside by the government.

Keep up with the fast changing business environment in China, the world's biggest and fastest-growing emerging economy. Sinomania! recommends Orbis Publications, Experts in Emerging Markets, for a full range of in-depth coverage on China including daily/weekly/monthly reports and more.


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