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August 07, 2000

Selling The Social Security Tax

The internal debate over the shape of the social security system went public in the Business Weekly on Sunday. Finance Minister Xiang Huai-cheng endorsed large-scale selling of shares in state-owned enterprises to generate revenue, a move which would have clear ideological implications. Official estimates indicate that reducing state holdings in listed firms from an average of 70 percent to 51 percent could raise $12 billion. According to state media, another major issue is apparently the scope of the new system – whether to limit its coverage to "just" unemployment compensation, pension benefits and health care.

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Social security will no doubt be discussed at Beidaihe but they might as well be talking on Mars. There are nothing like the cash available for unemployment, pension, and health care, so that having a debate over whether that's enough is ludicrous. A major problem with selling large amounts of government-held shares is that it would depress the stock market. So, naturally, the press is filled with commentary about how social security funds could be invested to drive up the market. There has been no evaluation of how the existing tax structure should be changed in response to a social security tax nor any movement toward a mechanism to distribute benefits without leading to massive corruption. Social security may become real at the 2002 Party Congress; right now the government is just going through the motions.

China E-Bytes
Top domestic manufacturer Shanghai Tire and Rubber wants to sell $320 million in assets to its planned joint venture with Michelin. Michelin is to hold 70 percent of the firm, which has an initial capitalization of $150 million.
Adatom has been selected by China Product Trade Net Center to be the agent for a fiber-optic production project valued at $150 million.
Private hospitals are to be allowed for the first time to determine their own prices.

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