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August 08, 2000

Assessing Capital Market Opening

The state media are running the same tired articles about opening the capital market, trumpeting the limited steps taken and promising great things. This is primarily a ploy to maintain stock market sentiment.

The measures discussed are impressive:

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(1) Permitting foreign purchase of ‘A' shares, as a prelude to merging the domestic ‘A' exchange and the foreign-invested ‘B' exchange;
(2) Permitting foreign companies to list on the ‘A' index;
(3) Permitting joint venture open mutual funds;
(4) Permitting foreign purchase of shares in state firms, including service sector firms; and
(5) Widening the trading range of the RMB and easing the repatriation of foreign currency.

A little examination, though, raises a basic question: why talk up these changes and not just make them? Only the first item, opening the ‘A' market, requires time and effort. Foreign companies such as Unilever could be listed right now. Foreign stakes in some state-owned service providers could be allowed right now. Foreign exchange could be liberalized right now. But foreign 'A' listings would draw capital away from needy local firms. And control of public enterprises is a lightning rod for internal ideological conflict. As a result, the government's words speak louder than its actions.

China E-Bytes
Unit sales of personal computers jumped 25 percent in the first half of the year, to 2.8 million, while volume rose 18 percent to $3.5 billion. Individuals now account for 44 percent of demand.
In addition to easing some restrictions on investment in the mainland, Taiwan will also more sharply limit investment in certain sectors, such as telecommunications and banking.
As part of the most recent crackdown on Internet activities, the government finally found and closed the leading dissident website. They are now pursuing the former site manager, though they apparently do not know his real name.

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