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August 24, 2000

Predicting The Internet Players

The new telecom regulations allow for small domestic private and joint ventures in the Internet sector. These will no doubt be important but, as with every other Chinese industry, the Net will be dominated by a few large firms. It's now becoming clearer who those firms will be.

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The most recent survey shows the four most popular web sites as Sina, Netease, Sohu, and Yahoo!China. The first three are losing money hand over fist and look to be ripe for consolidation along perhaps with Hong Kong players China.com and Tomcom. Those two are also losing money, but have much bigger stakes to play with. Sohu and China.com announced cooperative steps early this week. Only two companies are likely to emerge from this group.

Yahoo! has positioned itself well, with a successful China portal and an Asia portal. More important, it has a joint investment with computer maker Founder in a Hong Kong listed firm that is tailor-made for injecting funds into PRC ventures while sidestepping limits on foreign ownership. The Far Eastern Economic Review reports a claim by Lycos Asia (SingTel and Lycos) to have gained an ICP license as a wholly foreign-owned provider, the first of its kind.

Finally, the proverbial 800-pound gorilla waits in the shadows. Domestic computer giant Legend acquired a domestic Internet firm this week and is pressing for both ICP and ISP licenses. It has the government's blessing and resources to match the foreign giants.

China E-Bytes
Singapore's APRIL Group will sell its majority share in the Changshu paper mill to Finland's UPM-Kymmene for $150 million. The companies operate a stationary plant in Suzhou which may also change hands.
Over 100 members of an underground Christian group were arrested in Henan yesterday. The province is the center of Christian observance outside of government churches.
Japan is postponing its most recent loan due to alleged spying by Chinese naval vessels.

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